2024 the year of Commercial and Industrial Real Estate!

by Christine DeHart

In this post-pandemic era, we're witnessing a new normal unfolding in Staten Island's real estate market. The work-from-home trend has firmly established itself and is here to stay. This shift is having a significant impact, particularly on office spaces.

Companies are adapting to the evolving landscape by reevaluating their space needs. Some have fully embraced remote work, with employees rarely setting foot in traditional offices except for occasional in-person or Zoom meetings. Others have adopted a hybrid approach, requiring staff to spend just two days a week in the office, effectively reducing their space requirements. We anticipate that some vacant office buildings may undergo costly conversions into apartments as this trend continues to evolve.

Retail is experiencing a resurgence, with main street stores bustling once again. However, shopping malls are undergoing significant transformations. They are diversifying their offerings to include "entertainment" elements such as fitness centers, movie theaters, bowling alleys, and casual dining establishments. Some malls are reimagining themselves as 24-7 destinations, repurposing empty storefronts into residential units.

Additionally, we're witnessing "anchor" retailers relocating from malls to regional shopping centers, making their merchandise more accessible to the local community. The concept of stores within stores is also gaining traction in this dynamic market.

While the industrial sector thrived during the pandemic, it has now stabilized, maintaining high prices but with a slower growth rate. Online sales, which peaked during the pandemic, have also moderated, prompting online sellers to explore brick-and-mortar store openings.

Investment sales remain a challenge, especially given the prevailing high-interest rates. The Federal Reserve has expressed intentions to lower interest rates in 2024, but the extent and timing of this reduction remain uncertain. A marginal quarter-point decrease may not have a substantial impact on the market dynamics.

Housing prices remain elevated, and coupled with high interest rates, homeownership remains out of reach for many. Consequently, developers are seizing the opportunity, with numerous new apartment buildings in various stages of approval and construction.

Change is evident, but Staten Island's real estate market is teeming with activity and abundant opportunities for those who navigate these evolving trends wisely.

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